Each week, our stock trend forecast tool evaluates approximately 3,500 stocks in US markets. We normalize for current market conditions and assess stocks across several key dimensions to determine our top picks.
Key Analysis Components
- Fundamental Indicators:
We analyze a company’s financial health by examining metrics such as profit margins, operating margins, return on assets/equity, and valuation ratios. - Technical Indicators:
We compute trend indicators such as moving averages, MACD, regression-based momentum scores, and gap trend analysis. - Market Sentiment:
We aggregate data from news, social media, and analysts to derive sentiment scores based on slope and averages. - Insider Trading Patterns:
Insider trades reveal executive confidence or caution regarding future performance. - Congress Trading Activity:
We monitor the activity of US lawmakers to detect potential macro signals. - Risk vs Reward Index:
10,000 Monte Carlo simulations per ticker model risk-reward profiles using volatility and historical patterns.
Not Used
Analyst Ratings are excluded as they showed no predictive value in forward tests.
Back Testing & Optimization
We back test predictions often and run up to one million trials to refine the weight of each signal. This has produced directional accuracy between 65%–85%, depending on timeframe and conditions.
To request access to our forecasting software, please contact us.